Toyota Estima (2002)
2002 Toyota Estima
CarHunch analysed 620 real MOT records for the 2002 Toyota Estima.
Real test outcomes — pass rates, defect profiles, mileage data — from verified DVLA records. Updated as new MOTs are recorded.
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The 2002 Toyota Estima's first-time pass rate of 74.1% sits noticeably below the UK average of 80%, and more concerning, 40.3% of these vehicles have recorded a dangerous defect at some point—a significant reliability red flag for a buyer. This is a van that's shown persistent structural or safety issues across the fleet.
At an average mileage of 110,202 km for a 22-year-old vehicle, these Estimas are running hard, and they're proving expensive to maintain: owners average 3.65 failures and nearly 24 advisories per test. Before committing to one, budget for planned repairs on braking, suspension, and exhaust systems—and have a pre-purchase inspection specifically check for corrosion and chassis damage, given the dangerous defect rate.
The 2002 Toyota Estima has a below-average first-time pass rate (74.2% vs ~80% UK average) — check the specific vehicle's full MOT history carefully before buying.
These stats describe 620 vehicles as a group. The specific vehicle you're looking at could be the one good example or the one outlier. Run its registration to find out.
What tends to go wrong
Across 620 vehicles — figures show how many had each issue flagged at least once in their MOT history.
Data covers a 3-year window centred on 2002.
See this vehicle's full MOT history & AI hunches
Spot recurring advisories, hidden issues, and how it compares to 620 Toyota Estima cars.
Before you buy a 2002 Toyota Estima
Based on MOT data from 620 vehicles — here's what to check.
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Check the full MOT history.
40.3% of these vehicles have had a dangerous defect recorded -
recurring advisories often signal problems years before they become failures.
Search the reg on CarHunch for the full MOT history, reliability stats and a free AI-powered analysis of that exact vehicle. -
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Brake pipes, sills and subframes are the key areas on a vehicle this age — structural rust is hard to spot without getting underneath. A mechanic will check all of this before you commit, and give you a concrete basis to negotiate on price.
Inspection
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Outstanding finance, insurance write-offs and clocking won't appear in the MOT records — a dedicated history check covers all of this. Our link gets you 20% off automatically.
History
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Pass Rate by Fuel Type
| Fuel type | Vehicles | Pass rate | Avg failures |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrol (87%) | 541 | 74% | 3.77 |
Colour Breakdown
Based on 28,273 Toyota Estima vehicles registered in the UK — across all years. From DVLA registration records.
Mileage Distribution
Most 2002 Toyota Estima vehicles sit in the blue band. If the vehicle you're looking at is outside it, it's either unusually low or high mileage for its age.
Half of all 2002 Toyota Estima vehicles fall between 83,541 and 131,867 miles.
2002 Toyota Estima — Still on the Road
Numbers are thinning — 49% of 2002 Toyota Estimas are still active.
Numbers are declining — 222 vehicles still getting MOTs in 2025 (49% of peak).
Based on vehicles from this manufacture year that had at least one MOT test in each calendar year. Data from 2014–2025.
* The 2020 dip reflects the government's COVID-19 MOT exemption, which allowed certificates to be extended by six months — fewer tests were conducted that year.
MOT History Averages
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Compare with another model
See how the 2002 Toyota Estima stacks up against a rival.