Toyota

Toyota Alphard (2002)

440 real MOT outcomes analysed • 80.3% first-time pass rate

2002 Toyota Alphard

CarHunch analysed 440 real MOT records for the 2002 Toyota Alphard. Real test outcomes — pass rates, defect profiles, mileage data — from verified DVLA records. Updated as new MOTs are recorded.
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AI Analysis Reliability Overview Common Issues Check a Specific Reg Buyer's Checklist Pass Rate by Fuel Mileage Distribution Still on the Road MOT Averages Colour Breakdown Compare Models

Moderate sample. 440 vehicles on record. Figures are indicative — the specific vehicle's history matters more than these averages.

The 2002 Toyota Alphard matches the UK average first-time pass rate at 80.1%, which is respectable for a vehicle of this age, but the major concern is that 39.1% of these cars have recorded a dangerous defect at some point—well above acceptable thresholds and a serious red flag for any buyer. This high rate of critical safety issues means careful pre-purchase inspection is essential.

At around 103,600 miles on the clock, these Alphards show typical mileage for their age, but the average of 2.36 failures per vehicle and notably high advisory count of 17.8 suggest accumulated wear across multiple systems rather than isolated problems. Before committing to purchase, have a trusted mechanic conduct a full safety-focused inspection, paying particular attention to braking, steering, and suspension components where dangerous defects are most commonly recorded.

The 2002 Toyota Alphard has a decent first-time pass rate (80.3%), but a higher-than-average share of vehicles have had serious defects recorded — the individual vehicle's history matters a lot here.

⚠️ Over 1 in 5 of these vehicles have had a dangerous MOT failure at some point — usually tyres or brakes, and often a one-off issue rather than a persistent problem. The group stats won't tell you which one you're looking at.
First-time pass
80.3%
UK average ~80%
Around average
Dangerous (ever)
39.1%
At least once in MOT history
Check this vehicle
Avg failures / car
2.36
Over 10.4 tests on record
High
Typical mileage
104k
Middle half: 78k–127k
For context
🔧 Average reliability. Passes at roughly the UK rate — not a standout, not a problem vehicle. Individual history makes all the difference.
🔧 Expect consumable spend. An average of 17.8 advisories per vehicle tells you wear items (tyres, brakes) get flagged regularly. Budget for them — they're not surprises.
🔍 The dangerous defect figure is real. Most are one-off tyre failures or brake issues — not structural problems. But it's exactly why checking the individual vehicle's history is essential, not optional.

These stats describe 440 vehicles as a group. The specific vehicle you're looking at could be the one good example or the one outlier. Run its registration to find out.

Watch for defects — worth knowing

What tends to go wrong

Across 440 vehicles — figures show how many had each issue flagged at least once in their MOT history.

Other issues 49.5%
Oil leak, but not excessive
Tyre wear 42.4%
Offside Front Tyre worn close to legal limit/worn on edge · Nearside Front Tyre worn close to legal limit/worn on edge · Offside Rear Tyre worn close to legal limit/worn on edge · …
Budget for a full set — on a vehicle this age, tyres are expected consumables. An inspection will confirm how much is left.
Brake wear 30.5%
Front Brake pad(s) wearing thin · Rear Brake pad(s) wearing thin
Ask the seller when brakes were last serviced. If they don't know, factor in the cost.
Suspension & steering 27.7%
Nearside Front Suspension arm pin or bush worn but not resulting in excessive movement · Nearside Rear Axle swivel pins and bushes swivel pin and/or bush slightly worn · Offside Front Suspension arm pin or bush worn but not resulting in excessive movement · …
Harder to spot without a ramp — this is a good reason to book a pre-purchase inspection.
Lighting 17.4%
Nearside Headlamp lens slightly defective
Usually cheap to fix. Worth confirming all lights work before collecting.

Data covers a 3-year window centred on 2002.

See this vehicle's full MOT history & AI hunches

Spot recurring advisories, hidden issues, and how it compares to 440 Toyota Alphard cars.

UK

Before you buy a 2002 Toyota Alphard

Based on MOT data from 440 vehicles — here's what to check.

  • 📋 Check the full MOT history. 39.1% of these vehicles have had a dangerous defect recorded - recurring advisories often signal problems years before they become failures.
    Search the reg on CarHunch for the full MOT history, reliability stats and a free AI-powered analysis of that exact vehicle.
  • 🔍 Brake pipes, sills and subframes are the key areas on a vehicle this age — structural rust is hard to spot without getting underneath. A mechanic will check all of this before you commit, and give you a concrete basis to negotiate on price. Inspection ClickMechanic
  • 📄 Outstanding finance, insurance write-offs and clocking won't appear in the MOT records — a dedicated history check covers all of this. Our link gets you 20% off automatically. History carVertical Get 20% off via CarHunch

Pass Rate by Fuel Type

Fuel type Vehicles Pass rate Avg failures
Petrol (98%) 431 80.2% 2.36

Colour Breakdown

Based on 12,187 Toyota Alphard vehicles registered in the UK — across all years. From DVLA registration records.

White 48.9%
5,954
Black 20.1%
2,452
Silver 18%
2,195
Grey 6.5%
798
Blue 3.1%
372
Gold 1.5%
186
Green 0.6%
75
Maroon 0.4%
43
Purple 0.3%
36
Red 0.2%
30
Beige 0.2%
26
Bronze 0.2%
20

Mileage Distribution

Most 2002 Toyota Alphard vehicles sit in the blue band. If the vehicle you're looking at is outside it, it's either unusually low or high mileage for its age.

103,618
typical
77,706
low mileage
127,371
high mileage

Half of all 2002 Toyota Alphard vehicles fall between 77,706 and 127,371 miles.

Is the mileage you're seeing normal?
Under 77,706 miles — lower than most. Could be great, or could be a vehicle that rarely moved. Check test frequency and mileage progression in the MOT history.
77,706–127,371 miles — normal for age. This is where most 2002 Toyota Alphards sit.
Over 171,950 miles — higher than typical. Not necessarily a problem, but check service history and look out for advisory build-up on tyres and brakes.

2002 Toyota Alphard — Still on the Road

Almost all 2002 Toyota Alphards are still on the road.

Strong survival — 346 vehicles still getting MOTs in 2025, 95% of the peak.

35 346 2014 2025

Based on vehicles from this manufacture year that had at least one MOT test in each calendar year. Data from 2014–2025.
* The 2020 dip reflects the government's COVID-19 MOT exemption, which allowed certificates to be extended by six months — fewer tests were conducted that year.

MOT History Averages

10.4
Avg MOT tests per vehicle
2.36
Avg failures per vehicle
17.8
Avg advisories per vehicle
Other model years — Toyota Alphard: All Alphard years → Which year to buy? →
2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

Or browse all models: Toyota →

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Compare with another model

See how the 2002 Toyota Alphard stacks up against a rival.

Watch for defects — worth knowing